U.S. Factory Jobs are Gone?

JANUARY 30, 2014

bmwThe headline in the latest BusinessWeek article (Jan.27-Feb. 4, 2014) reads: Factory Jobs are Gone. Get Over It. The magazine writes: “Politicians think creating millions of high-tech manufacturing jobs is the answer. It isn’t.”  Over the past 60 years, U.S. GDP increased from $2.6 trillion to $15.5 trillion, which means that absolute manufacturing output more than tripled. Those goods were produced by fewer people. The number of employees in manufacturing was 16 million in 1953 (about a 1/3 of total nonfarm employment), 19 million in 1980 (about a 1/5), and 12 million in 2012 (about a 1/10). Service industries have taken up the slack. Even much of the value generated by U.S. manufacturing involves service work—about a 1/3 of the total. More than 1/2 of all people still employed in the U.S. manufacturing sector work in such services as management, technical support, and sales.

Over the past 30 years, manufacturers have spent more on labor-saving machinery and hired fewer (but more skilled) workers to run it. From 1980 to 2012 across the whole economy, output per hour worked increased 85%. In manufacturing output per hour climbed 189%. The proportion of manufacturing workers with some college education has increased from 1/5 to 1/2 since 1969.

Developing countries have taken over much of the low-skilled, low-capital production once done in the U.S. Consider the garment industry or tire manufacturing. Such low-tech work is even more mind-numbing and poorly paid than it was when the work was done in the U.S. through the 1970s. Many of the workers killed in the recent Rana Plaza garment factory collapse in Bangladesh earned just $3 a day. Some politicians have regretted the loss of similar jobs in the U.S. The question is: Do we want such jobs here now?

For every $1 spent by the federal government on retraining workers and helping them find jobs after they lost theirs to trade competition, the U.S. spends about $400 on Social Security and disability payments for those who exit the workforce rather than seek new work. So perhaps retraining programs are the solution.

This post provided courtesy of Jay and Barry’s OM Blog at www.heizerrenderom.wordpress.comProfessors Jay Heizer and Barry Render are authors of Operations Management , the world’s top selling textbook in its field, published by Pearson.

Amazon Skates To Where The Puck Is Going To Be

JANUARY 22, 2014

Evidently,  Amazon.com has read hockey great Wayne Gretzsky’s famous quote: “I skate to where the puck is going to be, not where it has been.” Amazon thinks it knows you so well it wants to ship your next package before you order it. The Wall Street Journal (Jan. 17, 2014) writes: “The Seattle retailer gained a patent for what it calls anticipatory shipping, a method to start delivering packages even before customers clickbuy.”

The technique could cut delivery time and discourage consumers from visiting physical stores. Amazon says it may box and ship products it expects customers in a specific area will want – based on previous orders and other factors — but haven’t yet ordered. The packages could wait at the shippers’ hubs or on trucks until an order arrives. In deciding what to ship, Amazon said it may consider previous orders, product searches, wish lists, shopping-cart contents, returns and even how long an Internet user’s cursor hovers over an item.

Today, Amazon receives an order, then labels packages with addresses at its warehouses and loads them onto waiting UPS, USPS or other trucks, which may take them directly to customers’ homes or load them onto other trucks for final delivery. It has been working to cut delivery times, expanding its warehouse network to begin overnight and same-day deliveries. The patent demonstrates one way Amazon hopes to leverage its vast trove of customer data to edge out rivals.

A possible Amazon logistics trail

A possible Amazon logistics trail

This post provided courtesy of Jay and Barry’s OM Blog at www.heizerrenderom.wordpress.comProfessors Jay Heizer and Barry Render are authors of Operations Management , the world’s top selling textbook in its field, published by Pearson.

Britain Promotes Apprenticeships to Help its Industrial Base

JANUARY 20, 2014

British apprentice learning high-integrity weldingDespite relatively high unemployment in Britain, especially among young people, there is a marked shortage of skilled manufacturing workers, writes The New York Times (Jan. 20, 2014). The problem is so acute that the government and industrial companies are behind an unprecedented push to get teenagers into apprenticeships to close that gap. The British government is trying to catch up with Germany and Switzerland, which have retained their competitive edge with the help of well-honed apprenticeship programs.
 
A third of employers across Europe say that the lack of skills is causing major business problems in terms of higher costs, insufficient quality and lost time. 27% of the 2,600 companies surveyed by McKinsey note they have left an entry-level vacancy unfilled over the past year because there were no eligible applicants. Statistics like that, and the fact that about a quarter of people under 25 are jobless in Europe, prompted Britain to act, committing £1.57 billion to apprenticeship training last year. About 2.7 million new jobs in British manufacturing are expected by 2020, of which 1.9 million will require engineering skills. Companies will need to double both the current number of qualified recruits and of apprenticeships to fill those positions.

Britain is among the worst in the developed world at equipping its young people with numeracy and literacy skills. The career aspirations of high school students showed them to be heavily skewed toward jobs in acting, media and professional sports. Part of the challenge for Britain is turning around the bad reputation that apprenticeships can have, often being associated with dull, menial tasks that evoke images of Oliver Twist, the Dickens character who faced life as an apprentice to a chimney sweep. Britain has a record of apprenticeships back to medieval times, when boys were hired as young as 7 and often worked in brutal conditions.

 
 
This post provided courtesy of Jay and Barry’s OM Blog at www.heizerrenderom.wordpress.comProfessors Jay Heizer and Barry Render are authors of Operations Management , the world’s top selling textbook in its field, published by Pearson.